Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.A new round of "account opening war" has come. Some banks have already arranged specific marketing tasks at the grassroots level on the day when the notice was issued. On December 12, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other five departments jointly issued the "Notice on the Full Implementation of the Individual Pension System", which pointed out the key direction for the next development of relevant financial institutions. "The Bank has arranged a business-side meeting to deploy the work after the full implementation of the personal pension business." The relevant person in charge of the retail line of the head office of a stock bank told the reporter. It is also known that some banks have already arranged specific marketing tasks at the grassroots level on the day when the Notice was issued. When the personal pension system is fully rolled out, banks, insurance and other financial institutions with exhibition industry qualifications are actively preparing for the upgrading and optimization of personal pension business. A new round of "staking the land" for banks in account opening, deposit and agency sales is about to start, and the product reserves of various financial institutions will also reach a new level. (CSI Taurus)CMB International: Upgraded the target price of WuXi Bio to HK$ 22.88, optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. CMB International published a report, predicting that the US Biosafety Act will fail with high probability, which will help WuXi Bio to achieve continuous performance growth in a relatively stable business environment. With the recovery of global biomedical financing, we are optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. According to the report, the NDAA in FY 2025 does not include the Biosafety Act, and the legislation of the Biosafety Act failed with high probability. On December 7, the US Senate and the House Armed Services Committee announced the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for fiscal year 2025, which was finally negotiated by the committees of the two houses. The Biosafety Act was not included in the amendment of NDAA in FY 2025, which means that the Biosafety Act failed to pass the legislative path of joining NDAA. The Biosafety Act can still promote separate legislation, but considering that the window of the current US Congress session is less than two weeks, the Bank believes that the success rate of separate legislation is extremely low. CMB International maintained the "Buy" rating of Yaoming Bio, and its target price rose from HK$ 13.58 to HK$ 22.88. It is estimated that the company's revenue will increase by 7.1%/12.4%/ 13.9% from 2024 to 2026, and its adjusted net profit will increase by 0.8%/11.1%/13.4% respectively.
CICC: The personal pension system in the Mainland has been fully extended to the whole country to help the long-term development of the insurance industry. CICC published a research report that the personal pension system in the Mainland has been fully extended to the whole country. The bank believes that as one of the important allocation directions of personal pension, various promotion policies will help the long-term development of the insurance industry. Although the average scale of personal pension is small compared with other savings insurance, it can still obtain stable long-term funds and high-quality new customers if it is properly operated. Zhongjin pointed out that in the early stage, the insurance industry may need to establish close ties with powerful sales channels or explore the characteristic mode of self-owned agent channel sales. In the long run, it is necessary to strengthen its own asset management capabilities and explore special services such as health care, which may help build core competitiveness.Joy City's daily limit The fourth Joy City in Beijing is about to open, and Joy City (000031.SZ) has raised its daily limit to a new high price in 4 yuan for 15 months, with a total market value of 17.1 billion yuan. According to the news, Haidian Joy City, the fourth Joy City in Beijing, will open on December 21st. At present, the second installation of many brands has come to an end, and the merchants in the venue have entered intensive preparations for opening.On the 13th, the South Korean opposition party reported to the National Assembly on the motion of impeaching President Yin Xiyue again. (Xinhua News Agency)
Bank of Indonesia: It intervened "quite boldly" when the Indonesian rupiah fell. As the Indonesian rupiah hit a four-month low and approached the key level of 16,000 rupiah to the dollar, the Indonesian central bank intervened more actively in the market on Friday. Edi Susianto, executive director of the Monetary and Asset Securities Management Department of the Bank of Indonesia, said by SMS that in order to maintain market confidence, the central bank entered the spot, domestic non-deliverable forwards (NDF) and national debt markets. The Indonesian rupiah fell 0.4% to 15,994 to the dollar in early trading on Friday, the weakest intraday level since August 8, and the worst weekly performance since mid-November.The customer service said that the technical department was working hard to find out the reason. Today, many netizens reported that there was a problem with the Lingke App, such as "the network was disconnected", "the App was out of position" and "the App should be repaired quickly". Many netizens left a message under the official website of Lingke Auto. Linke customer service said that at present, the technical department is working hard to investigate the reasons, and it is recommended that you use the remote control key or NFC key to drive the vehicle in the near future. Some netizens ridiculed that it was not a broken pole, and it was broken into a collar. Recently, Geely's shareholding has experienced a business crisis, and Link is also a brand of Geely. (Sina Technology)Today, there is a wave of daily limit in the two major outlets. "No bean bags, no AI." With the continuous fermentation of the concept of bean curd in A-shares, some investors shouted such a slogan. Bean bag+toys, bean bag+advertising and marketing, bean bag+data, bean bag+computing power, bean bag+headphones ... Haitian Ruisheng, Runxin Technology, Shengguang Group and other concept stocks have caused continuous market pursuit. This morning, the concept of bean curd became active again, and the AI application end and hardware end of bean curd rose together. Lexin Technology, Zhongke Lanxun, Juxin Technology and Hengxuan Technology, which are known as the "four little dragons" of end-side AI SOC (system on a chip), rose collectively in intraday trading. Runze Technology, a computing stock, rose more than 16%, and its share price reached a new high. In addition, this morning, the market paid more attention to the concept of starting economy, and the exhibition and IP economy sectors rose. The ground element fashion gap opened higher, and it didn't take long for the daily limit to open. The reason is that Shanghai Disu Fashion Co., Ltd. was listed in the "2023 Shanghai First Economic Leading Brand List" published at the end of last year. (CSI)
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13